Truro City 1-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.89/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.91
-38% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torquay United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-1 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-2
AWAY Torquay United
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Truro City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Torquay United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Truro City had 57% of the ball to Torquay United's 43%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Torquay United?

Truro City 1-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Truro City 39%, draw 26%, Torquay United 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Truro City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →