08/04/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
31%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
30%
41%
Under 2.5
38%
59%
Over 2.5
62%
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
37%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Balkan v Hogaborgs BK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Balkan
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hogaborgs BK
EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-7%
/
-23%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
313 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Balkan swept aside Hogaborgs BK 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Balkan made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK?
Balkan 4-0 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Balkan 33%, draw 31%, Hogaborgs BK 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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