Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.32/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.81
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
11.07.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
15.08.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
03.04.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
04.01.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
22.02.2020 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-3 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano squeezed past Atletico Rafaela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.33 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Atletico Rafaela 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 40%, draw 31%, Defensores De Belgrano 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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