Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Cherno More Varna 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 43% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 57%, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.67 for Cherno More Varna.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33%, draw 25%, Cherno More Varna 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.