USM Alger 2-0 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.0pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 12%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.82/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.15
+19% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +67%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 67%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
22.6 Crosses 11.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.43 xG 1.78
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 16
135 Passes 389
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 51
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-0
AWAY Rivers United
2.50 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
283 Passes 125
74% Pass Accuracy 58%
36 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger got the better of Rivers United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 64% of the ball to Rivers United's 36%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.50 to 0.69.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Rivers United?

USM Alger 2-0 Rivers United in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 57%, draw 24%, Rivers United 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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