Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 8 Apr 2024

Tecnico Universitario
1-1 HT 1-0
Emelec
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.9 Crosses 14.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Emelec
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
20.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
22.10.2022 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
29.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
04.10.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.04.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-1
AWAY Emelec
0.87 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
301 Passes 429
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Emelec couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 43% of the ball to Emelec's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.17 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 40%, draw 26%, Emelec 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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