Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 22%
-77% / -77% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.30
-100% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Jocoro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Jocoro Jocoro 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.11.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-3 HT 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco beat Jocoro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fuerte San Francisco as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 0.67 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro?

Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 46%, draw 33%, Jocoro 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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