Coatepeque 1-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coatepeque EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.04/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-17% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coatepeque
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.10.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Coatepeque GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coatepeque
1-0
AWAY Achuapa
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coatepeque vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coatepeque nicked a narrow win over Achuapa 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coatepeque as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coatepeque had 51% of the ball to Achuapa's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Coatepeque vs Achuapa?

Coatepeque 1-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coatepeque vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coatepeque win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coatepeque 44%, draw 23%, Achuapa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coatepeque) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coatepeque) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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