Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Apr 2024

Jaguares De Cordoba
2-2 HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaguares De Cordoba v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.14
-14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.9 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.47 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 429
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
20.03.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
23.10.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.05.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 3-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
11.09.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.02.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL

Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2-2
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.79 xG 1.96
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
210 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaguares De Cordoba and Independiente Medellin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 38% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 62%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.79 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 0.67 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin?

Jaguares De Cordoba 2-2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaguares De Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 36%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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