Riga FC 2-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.7pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.80/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.57
+13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
48.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
28.8 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.31 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
416 Passes 174
81% Pass Accuracy 58%
56 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-5 HT 2-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
25.06.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.05.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
12.03.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
17.10.2020 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
07.08.2020 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.40 xG 0.54
75% Ball Possession 25%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 0
681 Passes 147
88% Pass Accuracy 58%
42 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of FS Jelgava 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Riga FC had 75% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 25%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.40 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Riga FC and 1.33 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Riga FC 2-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 66%, draw 20%, FS Jelgava 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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