Baerum 4-1 KFUM II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.14
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.29
2-3 Goals
41%
2.22
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
11%
4.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM II EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
4-1
AWAY KFUM II
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baerum vs KFUM II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum swept aside KFUM II 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Baerum had 53% of the ball to KFUM II's 47%, shots finished 25-7.

What was the final score of Baerum vs KFUM II?

Baerum 4-1 KFUM II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs KFUM II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Baerum 60%, draw 18%, KFUM II 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
8 Apr 2024
16:00 HamKam II vs Bodo / Glimt II Analysis →
18:00 Askoy vs Haugesund II Analysis →
18:30 Skjetten vs Kristiansund II Analysis →
19:00 Elverum vs Fredrikstad II Analysis →
20:30 Sarpsborg 08 II vs Flint Analysis →