Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
0.90/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
+118% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.5 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.90 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
295 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERU2
23.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
30.07.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
28.11.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-3 HT 0-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
06.08.2017 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
16.04.2017 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-1
AWAY Cusco FC
0.30 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
203 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Comerciantes Unidos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 43% of the ball to Cusco FC's 57%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.30 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 46%, draw 27%, Cusco FC 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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