Academico Viseu 0-2 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.10
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Porto II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Porto II Porto II 3-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
14.05.2023 Porto II Porto II 3-1 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
07.01.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
29.04.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.12.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
25.04.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
0-2
AWAY Porto II
0.57 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
274 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II beat Academico Viseu 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Porto II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 46% of the ball to Porto II's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.57 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.50 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Porto II?

Academico Viseu 0-2 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 38%, draw 30%, Porto II 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academico Viseu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5
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