Mafra U23 2-3 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
36%
3.72
Away
37%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.23
Over 2.5
36%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
36%
Draw
23%
+12.7pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-14.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
41%
+23.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
59%
-23.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
-45% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
2-3
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Mafra U23 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 41% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Mafra U23 2-3 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 27%, draw 36%, Sporting Braga U23 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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