Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

Casa Pia
0-0 HT 0-0
Estoril
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.02
X/2
13%
5.29
X/X
13%
3.54
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.72
2/X
10%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.42
-69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.3 Crosses 23.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Casa Pia vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Estoril
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.16 xG 1.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Estoril Estoril 4-0 HT 2-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
21.05.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
16.01.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
23.04.2021 Estoril Estoril 1-1 HT 1-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR2
30.12.2020 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR2
09.02.2020 Estoril Estoril 4-1 HT 2-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR2

Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
0-0
AWAY Estoril
0.59 xG 0.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
336 Passes 454
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and Estoril played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Casa Pia had 45% of the ball to Estoril's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.59 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Casa Pia and 2.50 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Estoril?

Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 35%, draw 33%, Estoril 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casa Pia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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