FK Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.73
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
13%
3.95
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.83/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.18
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
25.1 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 346
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
15.09.2019 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
03.05.2019 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
05.11.2018 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.09.2017 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
11.03.2017 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
3-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.65 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
355 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg cruised past Rubin Kazan 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Orenburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 55% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Orenburg and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan?

FK Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 42%, draw 26%, Rubin Kazan 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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