Göztepe 3-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.75
X/1
13%
3.61
X/2
8%
10.05
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
12%
27.0
2/2
11%
8.79
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
1.57/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.07
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.1 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
21.01.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
21.08.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
08.03.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 3-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
07.11.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
20.04.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
3-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.93 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
306 Passes 155
77% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe swept aside Erzurumspor FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Göztepe had 60% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 40%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Göztepe and 1.17 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Erzurumspor FK?

Göztepe 3-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 54%, draw 23%, Erzurumspor FK 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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