Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

Deportivo Maldonado
1-2 HT 1-0
CA Penarol
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maldonado v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.30/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.06
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
05.03.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
23.08.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.03.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
17.10.2021 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.06.2021 CA Penarol CA Penarol 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU

Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-2
AWAY CA Penarol
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol squeezed past Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; CA Penarol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 32% of the ball to CA Penarol's 68%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.50 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 35%, draw 28%, CA Penarol 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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