Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
6-1
HT 3-0
Loudoun United
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Loudoun United
USLP
Birmingham Legion 3-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion beat Loudoun United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham Legion as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 39% of the ball to Loudoun United's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.58 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.00 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Birmingham Legion 3-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 48%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.