Monagas 4-2 Angostura FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.28/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.93
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.2 Crosses 10.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Angostura FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 1.45
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
348 Passes 243
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.02.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
4-2
AWAY Angostura FC
2.04 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
275 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Angostura FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas saw off Angostura FC 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Monagas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 47% of the ball to Angostura FC's 53%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.04 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monagas and 1.00 for Angostura FC.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Angostura FC?

Monagas 4-2 Angostura FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Angostura FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monagas 38%, draw 35%, Angostura FC 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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