Slavia Prag 0-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
6+ Goals
15%
9.99
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.02/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/3.35
+12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 172 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.08 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
402 Passes 178
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
10.08.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
21.04.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-2 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.11.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 1-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
23.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-3 HT 2-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
01.04.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
0-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc nicked a narrow win over Slavia Prag 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slavia Prag at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 59% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 41%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.00 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Slavia Prag 0-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Cup on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 57%, draw 22%, Sigma Olomouc 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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