Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 8 Apr 2025

Vasteras SK FK
1-1 HT 1-1
Örgryte
📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Vasteras SK FK vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No OUR CALL
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.24
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
9%
5.73
2/1
10%
21.9
2/2
13%
8.2
2/X
9%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasteras SK FK v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.15/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-31% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vasteras SK FK vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
10.04.2023 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
27.08.2022 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
26.07.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
30.10.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.05.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2

Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Örgryte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-1
AWAY Örgryte
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK and Örgryte shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Vasteras SK FK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 67% of the ball to Örgryte's 33%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Örgryte?

Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 49%, draw 25%, Örgryte 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasteras SK FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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