Bayern Münih 1-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.65
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
9%
24.65
2/2
10%
5.98
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
+51% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
492 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
36.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.2 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Inter
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
526 Passes 369
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter ŞMP
07.09.2022 Inter Inter 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
27.07.2017 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Inter HAZ
31.07.2016 Inter Inter 1-4 HT 0-4 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih HAZ
21.07.2015 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter HAZ
15.03.2011 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-3 HT 2-1 Inter Inter ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
1-2
AWAY Inter
2.30 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
586 Passes 408
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
49 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter edged past Bayern Münih 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern Münih at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 58% of the ball to Inter's 42%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.30 to 0.78 — on chances, Bayern Münih could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.00 for Inter.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Inter?

Bayern Münih 1-2 Inter in the Champions League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 47%, draw 24%, Inter 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
8 Apr 2025
22:00 Arsenal vs Real Madrid Analysis →