Atletico Goianiense 4-2 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
4-2
AWAY Athletic Club
1.53 xG 2.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
247 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense saw off Athletic Club 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Goianiense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 47% of the ball to Athletic Club's 53%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.53 to 2.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Athletic Club.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?

Atletico Goianiense 4-2 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 44%, draw 30%, Athletic Club 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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