Letonya (K) 1-1 Estonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
17%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estonya (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Estonya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
05.08.2017 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) HAZ
28.08.2015 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) HAZ
06.02.2015 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) HAZ
POST-MATCH Letonya (K) vs Estonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya (K) and Estonya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Letonya (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estonya (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Letonya (K) and 1.00 for Estonya (K).

What was the final score of Letonya (K) vs Estonya (K)?

Letonya (K) 1-1 Estonya (K) in the Friendlies on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya (K) vs Estonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Letonya (K) 51%, draw 29%, Estonya (K) 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Letonya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Letonya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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