Senegal (K) 1-0 Gana (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.85
6+ Goals
7%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 40% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senegal (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.43/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-67% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Senegal (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gana (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.04.2025 Senegal (K) Senegal (K) 0-1 Gana (K) Gana (K) HAZ
POST-MATCH Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal (K) squeezed past Gana (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gana (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?

Senegal (K) 1-0 Gana (K) in the Friendlies on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gana (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Senegal (K) 31%, draw 27%, Gana (K) 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gana (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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