08/04/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Senegal (K) vs Gana (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79
— our 40% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
27%
Draw
26%
41%
Away Win
48%
63%
Under 2.5
54%
37%
Over 2.5
46%
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
61%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Senegal (K) v Gana (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Senegal (K)
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gana (K)
EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
0.43/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
-67%
/
+55%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
256 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Senegal (K) vs Gana (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Senegal (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Gana (K)
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Senegal (K) squeezed past Gana (K) 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Gana (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?
Senegal (K) 1-0 Gana (K) in the Friendlies on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Senegal (K) vs Gana (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gana (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Senegal (K) 31%, draw 27%, Gana (K) 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gana (K)) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gana (K))
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
8 Apr 2025