Al Shorta 3-1 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 Apr 2025

Al Shorta
3-1 HT 2-0
Naft Al-Basra
📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Shorta vs Naft Al-Basra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shorta v Naft Al-Basra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.01
+76% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +68%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
461 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Shorta vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta got the better of Naft Al-Basra 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Naft Al-Basra?

Al Shorta 3-1 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 56%, draw 23%, Naft Al-Basra 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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