Patronato 0-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.19
No
70%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.7pp
30%
BTTS Yes
42%
-11.5pp
70%
BTTS No
58%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.67
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
0W-1D-0L
AWAY San Miguel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.04.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel squeezed past Patronato 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day San Miguel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Patronato vs San Miguel?

Patronato 0-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Patronato 39%, draw 30%, San Miguel 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Patronato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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