08/05/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-4
2nd Score
0-3
GBK vs Oulu Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
17%
Draw
11%
67%
Away Win
81%
47%
Under 2.5
24%
53%
Over 2.5
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
GBK v Oulu — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
GBK
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Oulu
EU Bookmakers 85%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-79% /
-79%
1.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
+30%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-73%
/
-66%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
251 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
512 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
GBK vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oulu swept aside GBK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of GBK vs Oulu?
GBK 0-3 Oulu in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for GBK vs Oulu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split GBK 16%, draw 17%, Oulu 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Oulu)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FİK
More Finland - Suomen Cup
8 May 2024