Golden Arrows 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 70%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
0.90/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.80
+105% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +80%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
204 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
15.5 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.50 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
245 Passes 462
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
10.09.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
12.04.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 6-0 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
20.10.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
28.09.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAF8K
28.08.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-1 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
0-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.33 xG 2.07
21% Ball Possession 79%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 10
80 Passes 575
47% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 43
4 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows and Mamelodi Sundowns played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Mamelodi Sundowns carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 21% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 79%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.33 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Golden Arrows and 2.83 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Golden Arrows 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 19%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 57%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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