Al Gharafa 4-3 Al Ahli Doha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
32%
Draw
20%
+11.9pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Doha EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa edged past Al Ahli Doha 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Al Gharafa 4-3 Al Ahli Doha in the KATEK on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 49%, draw 32%, Al Ahli Doha 19%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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