Wadi Degla 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
1-1
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 58% of the ball to Ghazl Kafr El Dawar's 42%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Wadi Degla 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 40%, draw 29%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wadi Degla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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