ML Rogachev 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.9
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ML Rogachev
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 HT 0-0 ML Rogachev ML Rogachev BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ML Rogachev
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ML Rogachev vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino squeezed past ML Rogachev 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Torpedo Zhodino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ML Rogachev had 53% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 47%, shots finished 8-2.

What was the final score of ML Rogachev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

ML Rogachev 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ML Rogachev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated a ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ML Rogachev 36%, draw 34%, Torpedo Zhodino 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ML Rogachev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ML Rogachev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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