Gareji 4-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.68/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.30
-42% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 0-1 HT 0-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
18.09.2024 Gareji Gareji 1-2 HT 0-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
4-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji cruised past Kolkheti 1913 Poti 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Gareji made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gareji had 41% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 59%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gareji and 1.00 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Gareji 4-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gareji win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gareji 40%, draw 27%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gareji) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gareji) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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