Racing Beirut 1-1 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.64
Over 2.5
22%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
1.88
No
70%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
78%
Under 2.5
57%
+20.8pp
22%
Over 2.5
43%
-20.8pp
30%
BTTS Yes
49%
-19.3pp
70%
BTTS No
51%
+19.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -74%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Beirut
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bourj
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.02.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-0 Bourj LUBN
02.03.2024 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Racing Beirut vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Beirut and Bourj couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (78%) landed while no to both teams scoring (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Racing Beirut had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Beirut and 0.50 for Bourj.

What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Bourj?

Racing Beirut 1-1 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Beirut win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 40%, draw 31%, Bourj 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Beirut), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Beirut) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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