Atletico Madrid II 4-3 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
11%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.20/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.80
-7% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sabadell
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
20.12.2025 Sabadell Sabadell 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
19.07.2020 Sabadell Sabadell 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
4-3
AWAY Sabadell
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II squeezed past Sabadell 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 41% of the ball to Sabadell's 59%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sabadell led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.50 for Sabadell.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Sabadell?

Atletico Madrid II 4-3 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 42%, draw 27%, Sabadell 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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