Adelaide Comets 2-1 Sturt Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.8pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.82/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.97
-44% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Comets
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sturt Lions
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 2-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVSA
22.04.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 0-0 HT 0-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
11.06.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-4 HT 1-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
04.03.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 2-0 HT 2-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
04.09.2021 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 4-0 HT 2-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
19.06.2021 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
FAQ Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Adelaide Comets edged past Sturt Lions 2-1 in the Australia - National Premier League on 8 May 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Comets have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adelaide Comets and 0.67 for Sturt Lions.

What was the final score of Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?

Adelaide Comets 2-1 Sturt Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturt Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Comets 31%, draw 19%, Sturt Lions 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturt Lions), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturt Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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