Moreland Zebras 1-0 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 8 May 2026

Moreland Zebras
1-0
Northcote City
📅08/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Moreland Zebras vs Northcote City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
14%
3.64
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.7pp
14%
Draw
24%
-10.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.3pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreland Zebras v Northcote City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland Zebras EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.99
-49% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Moreland Zebras vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland Zebras edged past Northcote City 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreland Zebras as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moreland Zebras vs Northcote City?

Moreland Zebras 1-0 Northcote City in the AVPL1 on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland Zebras vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreland Zebras 47%, draw 14%, Northcote City 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreland Zebras) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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