Tvaaker 0-2 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.03/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.50
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Malmö
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
0-2
AWAY AFC Malmö
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö saw off Tvaaker 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; AFC Malmö found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tvaaker had 56% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 44%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tvaaker and 0.50 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs AFC Malmö?

Tvaaker 0-2 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 39%, draw 24%, AFC Malmö 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tvaaker) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
8 Jun 2024
17:00 Falkenbergs FF vs Rosengard Analysis →
17:00 FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska Analysis →
17:00 Eskilsminne vs Norrby IF Analysis →
17:00 Onsala vs Lunds BK Analysis →