San Lorenzo 2-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.2
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 23%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 386
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.04.2018 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
09.03.2010 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
09.10.2009 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-0
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.50 xG 0.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
289 Passes 217
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo saw off Chacarita Juniors 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Lorenzo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 55% of the ball to Chacarita Juniors's 45%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.50 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.33 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Chacarita Juniors?

San Lorenzo 2-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - Cup on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 48%, draw 25%, Chacarita Juniors 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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