RoPS 2-1 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 8 Jun 2024

RoPS
2-1 HT 0-0
EPS
📅08/06/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

RoPS vs EPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 30% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RoPS v EPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RoPS EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH RoPS vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RoPS nicked a narrow win over EPS 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had RoPS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of RoPS vs EPS?

RoPS 2-1 EPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RoPS vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a RoPS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RoPS 46%, draw 27%, EPS 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RoPS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RoPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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