Belçika 3-0 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Türk Takımları, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.94
2-3 Goals
39%
2.29
4-5 Goals
24%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.16
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
6%
15.75
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
9%
34.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.0pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lüksemburg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
26.05.2014 Belçika Belçika 5-1 HT 2-1 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg HAZ
19.11.2008 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Belçika Belçika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika
3-0
AWAY Lüksemburg
4.81 xG 0.01
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 1
635 Passes 214
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
49 Box Touches 2
13 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belçika vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika swept aside Lüksemburg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Belçika had 72% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 28%, shots finished 27-1, expected goals 4.81 to 0.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belçika had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Belçika and 1.00 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Belçika vs Lüksemburg?

Belçika 3-0 Lüksemburg in the Friendlies - Türk Takımları on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Belçika 67%, draw 19%, Lüksemburg 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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