Atmosfera 3-2 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 31%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.18/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.30
-21% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Garliava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-3 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
03.06.2022 Garliava Garliava 1-1 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
3-2
AWAY Garliava
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera edged past Garliava 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Atmosfera made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 65% of the ball to Garliava's 35%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Garliava led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atmosfera and 2.00 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Garliava?

Atmosfera 3-2 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 39%, draw 25%, Garliava 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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