Plateau United 2-0 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.9pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.46/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.33
+39% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kwara United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.04.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.05.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 2-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
2-0
AWAY Kwara United
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United saw off Kwara United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plateau United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Plateau United had 53% of the ball to Kwara United's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kwara United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Plateau United and 1.50 for Kwara United.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Kwara United?

Plateau United 2-0 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 57%, draw 30%, Kwara United 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plateau United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plateau United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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