08/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Gjovik-Lyn vs Skeid Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
24%
Draw
9%
61%
Away Win
84%
37%
Under 2.5
25%
63%
Over 2.5
75%
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
40%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gjovik-Lyn v Skeid — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gjovik-Lyn
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skeid
EU Bookmakers 90%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
1.23/2.16
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.69/1.00
+2%
/
+22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-8%
/
+31%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
7
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
161 · 59%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Gjovik-Lyn vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skeid edged past Gjovik-Lyn 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Skeid as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gjovik-Lyn vs Skeid?
Gjovik-Lyn 0-1 Skeid in the Norway - 2nd Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gjovik-Lyn vs Skeid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Skeid win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gjovik-Lyn 15%, draw 24%, Skeid 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skeid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Skeid)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
8 Jun 2024