Baerum 2-2 Ullern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.59
Over 2.5
69%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.32
No
33%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.22
2-3 Goals
34%
2.45
4-5 Goals
32%
2.34
6+ Goals
20%
3.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.8pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.5pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullern EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ullern
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Ullern Ullern 0-2 Baerum Baerum NOK
12.08.2023 Baerum Baerum 6-1 HT 3-0 Ullern Ullern NOR3
23.07.2023 Ullern Ullern 2-1 HT 2-1 Baerum Baerum NOR3
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum and Ullern couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baerum at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baerum had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Baerum and 1.00 for Ullern.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Ullern?

Baerum 2-2 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Ullern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baerum 53%, draw 22%, Ullern 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
8 Jun 2024
14:00 Verdal vs Surnadal Analysis →
14:00 IF Ready vs Hodd II Analysis →
14:15 HamKam II vs Skjervoy Analysis →
15:00 Brodd vs Vidar Analysis →
15:00 Gamle Oslo vs Askollen Analysis →
15:00 Nordstrand vs Flint Analysis →