Western Mass Pioneers 2-3 Seacoast United Phantoms — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms EU Bookmakers 43%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.52
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Seacoast United Phantoms
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.06.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-2 HT 0-1 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms USL2
26.05.2023 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
02.07.2022 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 3-1 HT 3-1 Seacoast United Phantoms Seacoast United Phantoms USL2
POST-MATCH Western Mass Pioneers vs Seacoast United Phantoms
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seacoast United Phantoms nicked a narrow win over Western Mass Pioneers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Seacoast United Phantoms found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Western Mass Pioneers and 1.33 for Seacoast United Phantoms.

What was the final score of Western Mass Pioneers vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Western Mass Pioneers 2-3 Seacoast United Phantoms in the USA - USL League 2 on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Mass Pioneers vs Seacoast United Phantoms?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seacoast United Phantoms win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Western Mass Pioneers 33%, draw 27%, Seacoast United Phantoms 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seacoast United Phantoms) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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