Augsdaugava 4-1 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.4pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Augsdaugava vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsdaugava swept aside Progress / AFA Olaine 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Augsdaugava as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Augsdaugava vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Augsdaugava 4-1 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsdaugava vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsdaugava win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Augsdaugava 45%, draw 25%, Progress / AFA Olaine 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsdaugava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsdaugava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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