UMF Tindastoll 2-2 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 8 Jul 2024

UMF Tindastoll
2-2
KFG Gardabar
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-1 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2024

UMF Tindastoll vs KFG Gardabar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.6pp
14%
Draw
16%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Tindastoll v KFG Gardabar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 17%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-45% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
501 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll and KFG Gardabar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UMF Tindastoll at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs KFG Gardabar?

UMF Tindastoll 2-2 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 63%, draw 14%, KFG Gardabar 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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