08/07/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
29%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
29%
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
38%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulleen Lions v Brunswick City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bulleen Lions
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brunswick City
EU Bookmakers 33%
-60% /
-60%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
2.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/3.51
+89%
/
-54%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+1%
/
-65%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
390 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bulleen Lions saw off Brunswick City 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bulleen Lions as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City?
Bulleen Lions 2-0 Brunswick City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bulleen Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bulleen Lions 44%, draw 29%, Brunswick City 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulleen Lions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bulleen Lions)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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